EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION IN SOMALIA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.33003/fjs-2026-1009-4961Keywords:
Climate Change, Livestock Production, Annual Temperature, CO2, Rural PopulationAbstract
This paper employs how climate change influences animal production in Somalia. using Time series data obtained from WDI and WB in 1990-2020. the study applied ARDL Model and the analysis was done in E-Views-12 Software. Distinct variables were used such as Annual temperature, Carbon dioxide, rural population. Carbon dioxide has positive significant effect in livestock production but Annual temperature and rural population have negative significant effect in the livestock production. All data variables were tested by the unit root livestock production, CO2 and rural population were stationary at first difference but non- stationary at level. the study found that one-unit increase in annual temperature raised livestock production by 32.5% and it is significant level at 5%. Also, one-unit increase in CO2 caused to increase livestock production by 0.006 a level that is not significant. Finally, one-unit increase of rural population will result to decrease livestock production by -1.37% and it is statistically not significant but in short run period all variables are significant. This paper concludes that in long term, annual temperature and CO2 likely lead to increased livestock production and loss by Rural population. The study recommends to improve the service of veterinarians in order to prevent animal illness related to climate, which lowers productivity and increases mortality in animal production.
References
Abebe, K. (2017). Effect of Climate Change on Nutritional Supply to Livestock Production. Academic Research Journal of Agriculture Science and Research, 5(2), 98–106. https://doi.org/10.14662/ARJASR2016.056
Agbeja, A. O., Olaifa, K. A., Akindolu, D. R., Salau, H. O., & Akinlade. (2021). 9-13 Nigerian Society for
Animal Production Nigerian Journal of Animal Production © Climate change and livestock production: A review 1 1 1 2 1. Nig. J. Anim. Prod, 2021(4), 9–13.
Al Blooshi, L. S., Ksiksi, T. S., Aboelenein, M., & Gargoum, A. S. (2020). The impact of climate change on agricultural and livestock production and groundwater characteristics in Abu Dhabi, UAE. Nature Environment and Pollution Technology, 19(5), 1945–1956. https://doi.org/10.46488/NEPT.2020.v19i05.019
Ali, A. I., Kassem, Y., & Gökçekuş, H. (2023). Examining the impact of climate change on water resources in Somalia: The role of adaptation. Future Technology, 2(4), 45–58. https://doi.org/10.55670/fpll.futech.2.4.5
Ankrah Twumasi, M., & Jiang, Y. (2021). The impact of climate change coping and adaptation strategies on livestock farmers’ technical efficiency: the case of rural Ghana. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(12), 14386–14400. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-11525-1
Ateba Boyomo, H. A., Ongo Nkoa, B. E., & Awah Manga, L. A. (2024). Climate change and livestock production in Sub-Saharan Africa: Effects and transmission channels. Food and Energy Security, 13(1). https://doi.org/10.1002/fes3.521
Bernabucci, U. (2019). Climate change: impact on livestock and how can we adapt. Animal Frontiers, 9(1), 3–5. https://doi.org/10.1093/af/vfy039
Boitt, M. K., Langat, F. C., & Kapoi, J. K. (2018). Geospatial agro-climatic characterization for assessment of potential agricultural areas in Somalia, Africa. Journal of Agricultural Informatics, 9(3). https://doi.org/10.17700/jai.2018.9.3.479
BULUT, M., & ÖZDEN, C. (2023). Effects of Climate Change on Animal Husbandry. Black Sea Journal of Agriculture, 6(1), 87–94. https://doi.org/10.47115/bsagriculture.1216262
Chauhan, D. S., & Ghosh, N. (2014). Impact of Climate Change on Livestock Production: A Review. Journal of Animal Research, 4(2), 223. https://doi.org/10.5958/2277-940x.2014.00009.6
Chavez Michaelsen, A., Huamani Briceño, L., Vilchez Baldeon, H., Perz, S. G., Quaedvlieg, J., Rojas, R. O., Brown, I. F., & Pinedo Mora, R. (2020). The effects of climate change variability on rural livelihoods in Madre de Dios, Peru. Regional Environmental Change, 20(2). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-020- 01649-y
Cheng, M., McCarl, B., & Fei, C. (2022). Climate Change and Livestock Production: A Literature Review.
Atmosphere, 13(1). https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13010140
Dey, S. (2023). Climate Change Effects on Livestock Production in Bangladesh and Its Economic Impacts.
SAARC Journal of Agriculture, 21(2), 227–238. https://doi.org/10.3329/sja.v21i2.68030
Erdaw, M. M. (2023). Contribution, prospects and trends of livestock production in sub-Saharan Africa: a review. International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability, 21(1), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1080/14735903.2023.2247776
Escarcha, J. F., Lassa, J. A., & Zander, K. K. (2018). Livestock under climate change: A systematic review of impacts and adaptation. Climate, 6(3), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli6030054
Feng, X., Qiu, H., Pan, J., & Tang, J. (2021). The impact of climate change on livestock production in pastoral areas of China. Science of the Total Environment, 770, 144838. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.144838
Goma, A. A., & Phillips, C. J. C. (2021). The impact of anthropogenic climate change on egyptian livestock production. Animals, 11(11), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani11113127
Hanafiah, M. M., Ibraheem, A. J., & Razman, K. K. (2021). Emissions of carbon dioxide and methane from dairy cattle manure. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 880(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/880/1/012037
Hassan, A., Mat, B., & Çevrimli, M. B. (2022). Antakya Veteriner Bilimleri Dergisi The Journal of Antakya Veterinary Science https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/antakyavet Economic development opportunities and general structure of livestock production in Somalia Economic development opportunities and general structure of livestock production in Somalia. 1, 23–32. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/antakyavet
Herrero, M., Grace, D., Njuki, J., Johnson, N., Enahoro, D., Silvestri, S., & Rufino, M. C. (2013). The roles of livestock in developing countries. Animal, 7(SUPPL.1), 3–18. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1751731112001954
Hussein, J., Bilotto, F., Sircely, J., Mbui, D., Omondi, P., Ferreira, C. S. S., Fahad, S., Liu, K., & Harrison,
M. T. (2024). From crisis to opportunity: climate change benefits livestock production in Somalia.
Environmental Research: Food Systems, 1(2), 025004. https://doi.org/10.1088/2976-601x/ad6fa0
Kabubo-Mariara, J. (2009). Global warming and livestock husbandry in Kenya: Impacts and adaptations.
Ecological Economics, 68(7), 1915–1924. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.03.002
Kalle Hirvonen, Elia Machado, A. M. S. (2024). This document is discoverable and free to researchers across the globe due to the work of AgEcon Search. Help ensure our sustainability. ａ ｃ ｔ ｏ ｒ ｓＩ ｎ ｆ ｌ ｕ ｅ ｎ ｃ ｉ ｎ ｇＰ ｒ ｉ ｃ ｅｏ ｆＡ ｇ ｒ ｉ ｃ ｕ ｌ ｔ ｕ ｒ ａ ｌＰ ｒ ｏ ｄ ｕ ｃ ｔ ｓ ａ ｎ ｄＳ ｔ ａ ｂ ｉ ｌ ｉ ｔ ｙＣ ｏ ｕ ｎ ｔ ｅ. AgEcon Search, 1–26. file:///F:/Spec 2/Traffic Delay Model.pdf
Kimaro, E. G., & Chibinga, O. C. (2013). Potential impact of climate change on livestock production and health in East Africa: A review. Livestock Research for Rural Development, 25(7), 1–11.
Kingra, P. K., & Singh, S. (2016). Climate Change and Sustainability of Agriculture-A Review. Indian Journal of Economics and Development, 12(4), 603. https://doi.org/10.5958/2322-0430.2016.00184.0
Koirala, A., & Bhandari, P. (2019). Impact of Climate Change on Livestock Production Building Resilience to Climate related Hazards Project, (Agriculture Management Information System), Ministry of Agricultural and Livestock Development. 178–183.
Lal, P., Alavalapati, J., & Mercer, D. E. (2009). Effects of Climate Change on Natural Resources and Communities: A Compendium of Briefing Papers Chapter 3: Socioeconomic Impacts of Climate Change on Rural Communities in the United States. 4, 73–118.
Lloyd, S. J., & Hales, S. (2019). Challenges and gaps in assessing impacts of climate change on health in rural areas. Expert Group Meeting on ’Eradicating Rural Poverty to …. https://www.un.org/development/desa/dspd/wp- content/uploads/sites/22/2019/03/Lloyd_background_paper_final2.pdf
Nayak, G. D., Sardar, K. K., Das, B. C., & Das, D. P. (2023). Impact of climate change on livestock health and production. Impact of Climate Change on Livestock Health and Production, 16(5), 1–295. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003364689
Okuduwor, A. A, Oretan, A, Amadi-Robert, C.C, & Johnson, N.C. (2023). Assessment of Climate Variability on Poultry Production in Nigeria: 1990-2020. International Journal of Integrative Sciences, 2(7),
979–994. https://doi.org/10.55927/ijis.v2i7.4967
Osuji, E., Igberi, C., Enyia, C., Nwachukwu, E., Nwose, R., Adeolu, A., Tim-Ashama, A., Nkwocha, G., Eleazar, A., & Gabriel, A. D. (2023). Impact of Climate Change on Dairy Milk Production in Nigeria. Online Journal of Animal and Feed Research, 13(4), 246–252. https://doi.org/10.51227/ojafr.2023.37
Otim, J., Watundu, S., Mutenyo, J., Bagire, V., & Adaramola, M. S. (2023). Effects of carbon dioxide emissions on agricultural production indexes in East African community countries: Pooled mean group and fixed effect approaches. Energy Nexus, 12(October), 100247. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexus.2023.100247
Prasad, R. R., Dean, M. R. U., & Alungo, B. (2022). Climate Change Impacts on Livestock Production and Possible Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies in Developing Countries: A Review. Journal of Agricultural Science, 14(3), 240. https://doi.org/10.5539/jas.v14n3p240
Rust, J. M. (2019). The impact of climate change on extensive and intensive livestock production systems.
Animal Frontiers, 9(1), 20–25. https://doi.org/10.1093/af/vfy028
Rust, J. M., & Rust, T. (2013). Climate Change and Livestock Un Africa. South African Journal of Animal Science, 43(3), 256–266.
Smith, M. R., Thornton, P. K., & Myers, S. S. (2018). The impact of rising carbon dioxide levels on crop nutrients and human health. Gender, Climate Change, and Nutrition Integration Initiative, July(July), 1–4. www.feedthefuture.gov
Society, N., Production, A., Journal, N., & Production, A. (2021). Climate change and livestock production: A review Agbeja, A. O., 1 Olaifa, K. A., 1 Akindolu, D. R., 2 Salau, H. O. and 1 Akinlade, M. S. 48(4), 9–13.
Sondakh, D. S. I., Tulungen, F. R., Kampilong, J. K., Rumondor, F. S. J., Kawuwung, Y. S., & Sanggelorang,
E. P. (2024). Estimation of livestock greenhouse gas for impact mitigation. Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management, 10(2), 857–872. https://doi.org/10.22035/gjesm.2024.02.27
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
Categories
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Mumin Rage Ahmed, Hassan Omar Sabrie, Guuleed Abdullahi Rage
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
