GNSS/Levelling-Based Assessment of Vertical Deformation along the Jonathan Bypass Airport Road, Calabar (Nigeria), Using the 3-Sigma Statistical Criterion

Authors

  • Lucas Atoki Bowen University, Iwo, Nigeria
  • Echeng Isaac Edoki
  • Ojodugbowa Shedrack Omachoko
  • Korede Samuel Buraimoh
  • Sikiru Temitope Ibraheem
  • Emmanuel Oluwayinka Akinwale
  • Oluwagbotemi Odesola

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.33003/fjs-2026-1010-5198

Keywords:

GPS/leveling, 3-Sigma rule, Deflection of the Vertical, Calabar's Airport Road, Deformation

Abstract

Recently, urban areas have seen a rise in road subsidence accidents, endangering citizens. Detecting structural movement early means catching small movements, allowing for timely intervention. Various high-precision methods have been tested and implemented to mitigate these risks. This study uses the 3-sigma rule to isolate outliers and detect deformation. It combines GNSS and leveling techniques to determine vertical deflection, identifying areas prone to cave-ins and correlating them with road surface deformation. The study derived optimal Deflection of Vertical (DoV) along Calabar's Airport Road with millimeter accuracy, using geodetic coordinates (ϕ, λ, h) and orthometric height (H). The 3-sigma test showed an SD of less than 4mm and DoV of less than 4mm, indicating inliers. Correlation analysis of DoV revealed moderate positive correlation (0.460) between 2022-2023, strong positive correlation (0.802) between 2022-2024, and moderate positive correlation (0.551) between 2023-2024. The study has demonstrated the effectiveness of GNSS and leveling techniques in monitoring road deformation, thereby highlighting areas of significant change in Calabar’s Airport Road profiles. Alternative methods, such as GNSS/leveling techniques, are recommended for obtaining reliable, high-quality DoV data. These methods offer solutions to the high costs of gravimeters and satellite data resolution limitations in Nigeria, exacerbated by the economic downturn.

Author Biography

  • Lucas Atoki, Bowen University, Iwo, Nigeria

    Lucas Olu ATOKI, PhD, is a Geodesist and Professional Surveyor with extensive expertise in geodesy and geodynamics, particularly in GNSS, leveling, gravity-related studies, and deformation monitoring. He previously served as a Senior Lecturer in the Surveying and Geoinformatics Programme at Bowen University.

    Dr. Atoki’s academic and research activities focus on crustal deformation analysis, vertical deflection determination, geoid modeling, and the integration of geodetic techniques for infrastructure and environmental monitoring. He has contributed to advancing geodetic knowledge through rigorous field observations, statistical validation of geodetic data, and the application of modern space-based geodetic methods to address practical engineering and geoscientific challenges, particularly within developing regions.

    As an educator and researcher, he is committed to capacity building in geospatial sciences, mentoring students, and promoting the use of cost-effective and reliable geodetic solutions for national development. His scholarly interests bridge theory and practice, supporting informed decision-making in infrastructure safety, environmental sustainability, and geodynamic studies.

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Published

22-06-2026

How to Cite

Atoki, L. (2026). GNSS/Levelling-Based Assessment of Vertical Deformation along the Jonathan Bypass Airport Road, Calabar (Nigeria), Using the 3-Sigma Statistical Criterion (E. I. Edoki, O. S. Omachoko, K. S. Buraimoh, S. T. Ibraheem, E. O. Akinwale, & O. Odesola, Trans.). FUDMA JOURNAL OF SCIENCES, 10(10), 190-201. https://doi.org/10.33003/fjs-2026-1010-5198

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