Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Fractional Vegetation Cover Change in Zamfara State, Nigeria (1985–2020): A Landsat and CLASlite Approach
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.33003/fjs-2026-1010-5009Keywords:
Remote sensing, Vegetation cover, Change detection, CLASlite, Landsat, Fractional coverAbstract
Vegetation degradation remains a critical environmental issue in semi-arid regions of Nigeria, where population growth, agricultural expansion, and climatic variability drive land-cover changes. This paper quantified the spatio-temporal dynamics of vegetation cover across Zamfara State over a 35-year period (1985–2020) using multi-temporal Landsat imagery (TM, ETM+, OLI) processed with the CLASlite algorithm to derive fractional vegetation cover. Eight epochs (1985, 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020) were analysed using change-vector analysis and accuracy assessment through confusion matrices and Kappa statistics. Results indicate a consistent decline in photosynthetic vegetation cover from 65.3% in 1985 to 34.8% in 2020, with the central and northwestern parts of the state showing the most pronounced losses. The findings highlight accelerating vegetation degradation particularly after 2000, correlating with increased anthropogenic pressures. This long-term assessment provides a valuable baseline for sustainable land-use planning, ecological restoration, and policy development toward combating desertification in semi-arid Nigeria.
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