STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY PATTERNS OF LOKOJA, NIGERIA

  • Oluwadare Akinyemi
  • Sunday O. Imoni Federal University Lokoja, Kogi State
  • J. Ayodele Kupolusi
  • Felix Okutu
Keywords: ARIMA model, Lokoja, Prediction, Relative Humidity, Trend

Abstract

This study focuses on the management of moisture and the monitoring of relative humidity (RH) patterns in order to maintain optimal conditions for finished products and human comfort. High humidity levels in homes can lead to issues such as the growth of dust mites, causing various irritations and allergies. The research emphasizes the importance of considering relative humidity values in the planning of tropical humid cities to create healthy and comfortable urban environments. Statistical measures and methods are employed to analyze the trend and project future relative humidity measurements. The study presents summary statistics of monthly relative humidity patterns, highlighting the variations across different months. Cumulative summaries indicate the overall range of relative humidity recorded over the years. Stationarity and normality tests are conducted to ensure the suitability of the data for modeling. Autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation analyses are used to identify potential ARIMA models for future humidity prediction. The information criteria aid in selecting the best-fitting ARIMA model, and the estimated coefficients are presented. Finally, predictions of relative humidity are provided for future dates. The study concludes that the ARIMA (9,1,1) model is suitable for predicting future relative humidity, and it highlights the importance of monitoring and managing relative humidity for maintaining optimal conditions.

References

Adeniyi, A, (2020). Trend Analysis of Temperature and Humidity in Kwara State, Nigeria. Journal of Environmental Geography 13 (34), 4450.

Ayinde, O.E., Ojehomon, V.E.T., Daramola, F.S., Falaki, A.A. (2013). Evaluation of the effectsof climate change on rice production in Niger State, Nigeria. Ethiop. J. Environ. Stud. Manag. 6, 763773. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4314/ejesm.v6i6.7S

Berman, A. (2006). Extending the potential of evaporative cooling for heat-stress relief. Journal of Dairy Science, 89, 38173825 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(06)72423-7

Chan KH, Peiris JS, Lam SY, Poon LL, Yuen KY, Seto WH. The Effects of Temperature and Relative Humidity on the Viability of the SARS Coronavirus. Adv Virol. 2011;2011:734690. doi: 10.1155/2011/734690. Epub 2011 Oct 1. PMID: 22312351; PMCID: PMC3265313.. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1155/2011/734690

Cox R M, Munoz-Garcia A, Jurkowitz M S, Williams J B. (2008). B-Glucocerebrosidase activity in the stratum corneum of house sparrows following acclimation to high and low humidity. Physiological and Biochemical Zoology, 81, 97105 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/522652

Xu, Z., Crooks, J. L., Davies, J. M., Khan, A. F., Hu, W., & Tong, S. (2018). The association between ambient temperature and childhood asthma: a systematic review. International journal of biometeorology, 62, 471-481.. International Journal of Biometeorology, 58(3), 357-365. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-017-1455-5

Godefroid, M., Morente, M., Schartel, T., Cornara, D., Purcell, A., Gallego, D. & Fereres, A. (2020). The risk of Xylella fastidiosa outbreaks will decrease in the Mediterranean olive-producing regions. bioRxiv, 2020-07. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.16.206474

IPPC (2021). Scientific review of the impact of climate change on plant pests A global challenge to prevent and mitigate plant pest risks in agriculture, forestry and ecosystems. Rome. FAO on behalf of the IPPC Secretariat. https://doi.org/10.4060/cb4769en DOI: https://doi.org/10.4060/cb4769en

Jericho, K. W., & Magwood, S. E. (1977). The effect of relative humidity on the respiratory epithelium of neonatal calves. Canadian Journal of Comparative Medicine, 41(2), 186-189.

Juroszek, P. & von Tiedemann, A. 2015. Linking plant disease models to climate change scenarios to project future risks of crop diseases: A review. Journal of Plant Diseases and Protection, 122: 315. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03356525

Korotcenkov, G. (2020). Humidity Sensors: Principles and Applications. CRC Press.

Lawal, J.O., Omonona, B.T., 2014. The effects of rainfall and other weather parameters on cocoa production in Nigeria. Comun. Sci. 5 (4), 518523.

Lin, H., et al. (2005). High relative humidity increases the impact of high ambient temperature on broiler chicks. Poultry Science, 84(7), 1178-1185. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/ps/84.8.1173

Philbey, A. W., et al. (1991). Myopathy and anasarca associated with high humidity in ostrich chicks. Avian Pathology, 20(2), 393-402.

Umoh, A. A., Aniefiok O. Akpan, A. O., and Jacob B. B. (2013). Rainfall and Relative Humidity Occurrence Patterns In Uyo Metropolis, Akwa Ibom State, South- South Nigeria. IOSR Journal of Engineering, 3(8), 27-31 DOI: https://doi.org/10.9790/3021-03842731

Weaver Jr, W. D., & Meijerhof, R. (1991). The effect of different levels of relative humidity and air movement on litter conditions, ammonia levels, growth, and carcass quality for broiler chickens. Poultry science, 70(4), 746-755. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3382/ps.0700746

Wu Y, Jing W, Liu J, Ma Q, Yuan J, Wang Y, Du M, Liu M. (2020). Effects of temperature and humidity on the daily new cases and new deaths of COVID-19 in 166 countries. Sci Total Environ.;729:139051. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139051. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139051

Yahaya, O. M., Ogolo, E. O., Agele, S. O., Olanrewaju, A. V. (2024). Monitoring Climate Extreme Events Trend in Nigeria Using Climpact2 Software. FUDMA Journal of Sciences. 8(4), 143 - 160 DOI: https://doi.org/10.33003/fjs-2024-0804-2560

Published
2025-04-17
How to Cite
Akinyemi, O., Imoni, S. O., Kupolusi, J. A., & Okutu, F. (2025). STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY PATTERNS OF LOKOJA, NIGERIA. FUDMA JOURNAL OF SCIENCES, 9(2), 298 - 304. https://doi.org/10.33003/fjs-2025-0902-3273