MATHEMATICAL MODELLING AND STABILITY ANALYSIS OF MONKEY POX TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS IN NIGERIA

  • O. J. Fatoba Sheda Science and Technology Complex
  • S. S Atuji
  • N. E. Dashe
  • B. O. Akogwu
  • E. E. Ukoh
  • I. J. Udoh
Keywords: Monkey Pox, Non-linear Differential Equations, Jacobian Matrix, Maple21, SITR-SIR, Nigeria

Abstract

In this paper, we proposed a mathematical model for monkey pox disease dynamics. This model is divided into two sub-population which is a system of non-linear differential equations. It is made up of seven (7) compartments such as the Susceptible, the Infectious, the Treatment, the Recovery, the Susceptible, the Infectious, and the Recovery (SITR-SIR). The model is formulated with the aid of a schematic diagram using appropriate parameters. The model analysis was carried out to show the feasible region, the disease-free equilibrium points, the basic reproduction number, and the local stability of the model. The model was solved to show the effect of the parameters.

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Published
2023-11-09
How to Cite
Fatoba O. J., Atuji S. S., Dashe N. E., Akogwu B. O., Ukoh E. E., & Udoh I. J. (2023). MATHEMATICAL MODELLING AND STABILITY ANALYSIS OF MONKEY POX TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS IN NIGERIA. FUDMA JOURNAL OF SCIENCES, 7(5), 247 - 257. https://doi.org/10.33003/fjs-2023-0705-2017